Dr. Uzma goes live!

Dr. Uzma Ashraf, a postdoctoral scholar working with Adam in Dr. Rebecca Hernandez’s lab at UC Davis, was featured in a special story by Spectrum News 1 of California about conflicts between renewable energy and conservation. Way to go, Dr. Uzma! Aligning renewable energy expansion with climate-driven range shifts [article | summary]Ashraf, U., Morelli, T.L., Smith, A.B., and Hernandez, …
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Using AI to reconstruct species’ histories and share knowledge of them

Mathew Austin* and Adam Smith, both Garden researchers, were recently interviewed by the St. Louis Post-Dispatch for an article on how the Missouri Botanical Garden is using AI to recover species’ biogeographic histories since the last Ice Age and to help organize our collections and make them available to the rest of the world! * …
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Using 21,000 years of history to predict the next 100

The first time I heard the term “conservation biogeography”, I was with a group of people who all laughed at the seemingly term quizzical term. But, in this latest publication, we show that we can use reconstructions of a species’ range and genetic composition across the past 21,000 years to identify the best model of …
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Where will Midwestern ecosystems be in the year 2500?

Recently Adam was asked to pen a thought-piece for the Missouri Natural Area Newsletter about climate change in the Midwest. In 5-1/2 easy pages, it covers: emissions scenarios, the last glacial maximum, the year 2500, and how we need an adaptive resist-adapt-direct (RAD) framework for dealing with it. Where will Midwest ecosystems be in 2500? …
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Renewable energy versus(?) biodiversity

Renewable energy might save the world, but we need to be sure it doesn’t destroy it along the way. . . Unless located and designed wisely, solar and wind installations could actually harm species as they shift in response to climate change. Owing to their large size, large-scale renewable energy plants have an outsized impact …
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Join us in a study of SDM methodology!

We invite you to be part of a worldwide study about structural uncertainty in species distribution models (SDMs)! Specifically, we are interested in how choices along the modeling workflow affect final outcomes of models. While differences in algorithms, spatial extents, etc., have been widely explored, we are interested in the cumulative effect of choices and …
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Thank you, Postcard Underground!

Having chosen the path of a scientist who studies climate change so that I could do things with my life to make this world a better place, I never expected to be criticized for being a liar, greedy person, or dupe. Support like this helps. Thank you, Postcard Underground. You know who you are 😉

Integrating occurrences, pollen, and DNA to reconstruct species’ biogeographic histories

To date, most reconstructions of species’ biogeographic histories have relied on a single data source, such as occurrence data analyzed using species distribution models, fossil pollen analyzed using pollen-vegetation models, or genetics analyzed using scenario-based modeling. “Integration” between them has largely been “by eye.” We present a statistically integrated model based on approximate Bayesian computation …
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Paid summer research on the effect of climate change on plant reproduction and physiology at the Missouri Botanical Garden

Drs. Matt Austin and Adam Smith are excited to recruit a participant for the summer 2024 session of Missouri Botanical Garden’s Research Experience for Undergraduates (REU) Program sponsored by the National Science Foundation.  Contemporary climate change has already altered many aspects of the natural world, including the timing of reproduction and physiological requirements. Many plants …
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